(October 24, 2012 at 9:01 pm)Polaris Wrote: The electoral system is a fraud. It allows a state that is 50/50 to go fully one way or the other which means a candidate with less votes overall can win the election if he manages to get 51/49 in the largest states and lose the rest.I wouldn't worry too much about individual forecasts like those. I've seen electoral maps that show Obama has far many more paths to 270 than Romney.
All the bookies still give Obama a large lead, and although it has shrunk in the last month, only a tiny tiny bit. And the bookies have only been wrong once in over 100 years. Much more accurate than polls or university studies. Their livelyhood depends o it!

I'm not saying Obama has 100% chance to win, just that I don't think 2 studies done by (for all we know very bias people), isn't something to get yourself worked up over.
In an Ironic twist, I've heard that it is very possible that this year Obama will win the electoral votes, while Romney wins popular vote.
“Eternity is a terrible thought. I mean, where's it going to end?”
― Tom Stoppard, Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead
― Tom Stoppard, Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead