RE: Would you be an atheist if science and reason wasn't supportive of atheism?
December 6, 2012 at 12:54 pm
(This post was last modified: December 6, 2012 at 12:59 pm by Mister Agenda.)
(December 6, 2012 at 12:46 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: Improbable event: My cup of coffee floating up towards the ceiling at 6:30 pm
Rhythm claims the event becomes a certainty at 6:30 pm 1:1
6:31 pm, a 1:1 event, predicted to be inevitable, has not taken place.
Only if at 6:30 the cup actually floated up to the ceiling. It's the occurrence of the event that changes an improbability into a certainty, not the amount of time that has passed.
Probability applies to things we don't know the outcome of, things we do know the outcome of didn't probably happen, they actually happened.
The odds of drawing a particular bridge hand are billions to one. The odds of having the particular hand you have already drawn is 1:1. There's not a 90% chance you drew the hand you drew, it's a 100% chance. If you look at the hand you've drawn a million times, there won't be any times that it's a different hand than the one you drew. And it's stupid to claim you didn't get the hand you drew because the odds were billions-to-one against it.
