(December 6, 2012 at 12:33 am)cratehorus Wrote:

(December 6, 2012 at 12:24 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: Are you kidding?

An improbable event doesn't become probable just because time has passed.

Nobody calculates probabilities like this.

A coincidence that happened in the past is still a coincidence. An inevitability that happened in the past is still an inevitability.

If you wind back the clock and run the event again you just might get a very different outcome than your 1:1 prediction.

How old are you?

hey vinny why these assholes bothering you?

They're not.

They're perfectly nice people.

(December 6, 2012 at 12:24 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: Are you kidding?

An improbable event doesn't become probable just because time has passed.

Try again. The only relevance the passage of time has to the proposition is whether or not the event occurred in that interim. An improbable event becomes a certain event after the fact, 1:1.

Quote:Nobody calculates probabilities like this.

Again, whats the probability of you posting your last response? Care to calculate that probability? People absolutely do calculate probabilities like this. Calculating the probability for a known event is exceedingly simple though, because it's always 1:1.

Quote:A coincidence that happened in the past is still a coincidence. An inevitability that happened in the past is still an inevitability.

They both happened? Well, given that they already happened they're both 1:1.

Quote:If you wind back the clock and run the event again you just might get a very different outcome than your 1:1 prediction.

You may get a different calculation a priori (without the event taken as a given), but it would be missing one important point of data, one that leads to a conclusion of 1:1.

Quote:How old are you?

1:1.

(December 6, 2012 at 12:36 am)The_Germans_are_coming Wrote: ohhh cute.


When Harry met Sally.

yeah............ just ignore this post this asshole has no fucking clue why even exists.................... much less knows what the fuck he just he just said......seriously vinny why let these fucks bother you?

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(December 6, 2012 at 12:38 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote:

(December 6, 2012 at 12:33 am)cratehorus Wrote: hey vinny why these assholes bothering you?

They're not.

They're perfectly nice people.

they seem to be getting to you though you posted a whole fucking thread about quiting? why beacuse a couple of weird fucking turds don't like you fuck them they have no fucking clue about you or who you are hell half are ready too commit suicide fuck em' you good in my book, if that means fuck all too you

Improbable event: My cup of coffee floating up towards the ceiling at 6:30 pm
Rhythm claims the event becomes a certainty at 6:30 pm 1:1
6:31 pm, a 1:1 event, predicted to be inevitable, has not taken place.

Rhythm, do you have any closing comments?

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(December 6, 2012 at 12:19 am)apophenia Wrote:


If anybody needs me, I'll be over here, kissing Hank's ass.

My name ain't Hank.

This is like the three stooges for intellectuals. I don't know as I'm so much entertained as I am transfixed by the train wreck.

(December 6, 2012 at 12:39 am)cratehorus Wrote: weird fucking turds

What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills. I am trained in guerilla warfare and I'm the top sniper in the entire US armed forces. You are nothing to me but just another target. I will wipe you the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of spies across the USA and your IP is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. You're fucking dead, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can kill you in over seven hundred ways, and that’s just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in unarmed combat, but I have access to the entire arsenal of the United States Marine Corps and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little “clever” comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn idiot. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're fucking dead, kiddo.

(December 6, 2012 at 3:41 am)Gilgamesh Wrote:

(December 6, 2012 at 12:39 am)cratehorus Wrote: weird fucking turds

What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills. I am trained in guerilla warfare and I'm the top sniper in the entire US armed forces. You are nothing to me but just another target. I will wipe you the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of spies across the USA and your IP is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. You're fucking dead, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can kill you in over seven hundred ways, and that’s just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in unarmed combat, but I have access to the entire arsenal of the United States Marine Corps and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little “clever” comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn idiot. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're fucking dead, kiddo.

I notice you didn't respond to my previous rebuttal of your claim. May I assume then that you concede my point?

(December 6, 2012 at 12:46 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: Improbable event: My cup of coffee floating up towards the ceiling at 6:30 pm

OK

Quote:Rhythm claims the event becomes a certainty at 6:30 pm 1:1

Which means that the event actually occurred

Quote:6:31 pm, a 1:1 event, predicted to be inevitable, has not taken place.

Yes it has. You said that it had in your previous statement. That's what the expressions 'certainty' and '1:1' mean; that a factual occurrence has been observed. It's the actual occurrence of the event that changes the probability from a possibility to a certainty.

(December 6, 2012 at 3:41 am)Gilgamesh Wrote:

(December 6, 2012 at 12:39 am)cratehorus Wrote: weird fucking turds

What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills. I am trained in guerilla warfare and I'm the top sniper in the entire US armed forces. You are nothing to me but just another target. I will wipe you the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of spies across the USA and your IP is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. You're fucking dead, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can kill you in over seven hundred ways, and that’s just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in unarmed combat, but I have access to the entire arsenal of the United States Marine Corps and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little “clever” comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn idiot. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're fucking dead, kiddo.

Where have I seen this before?
google-it

(December 5, 2012 at 1:17 am)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: Simple question.

This will weed out the realists and the rationalists from the rest.

Error: cannot compute