All the problems with Christianity

[MindForgedManacle]

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To talk about Biblical prophecy as some uniquely special, indisputable and factual thing is to pretend that people are so stupid that they can't look back at apparent prophecies and try to make them fit with any number of events, or that they cannot construct very vague, general claims of the future. Nostradamus anyone? Psychics? Come on now. We already some of the Gospels do this. I forget which one exactly (I think it's Matthew), but one of the Gospels does this to extraordinary lengths that's it's absurd and poorly done.

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Yes, of course many weak prophecies are held up with crutches like these. But it is a fallacy (hasty generalization, to be specific) to say that all prophecies must be like this just because some are.

And where did I make that hasty generalization in that post? Go on, I'll wait while you fail to find it.

Take a look at the prophecies in the middle of Page 12. Many of them said exactly what event would happen, leaving no room for interpretation (e.g. mentioning Cyrus as the conqueror of Babylon).

And this is where a little critical thinking goes a long way. Given that even on a Christian worldview most prophecies will have an exponentially higher chance of being a later interpolation or wrong than for them to be true. And thus it is straightforward Bayesian inferencing that allows me to conclude that it is more likely than not that the supposed prophecy is fraudulent.