All the problems with Christianity

[MindForgedManacle]

I found it:

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To talk about Biblical prophecy as some uniquely special, indisputable and factual thing is to pretend that people are so stupid that they can't look back at apparent prophecies and try to make them fit with any number of events, or that they cannot construct very vague, general claims of the future. Nostradamus anyone? Psychics? Come on now. We already some of the Gospels do this. I forget which one exactly (I think it's Matthew), but one of the Gospels does this to extraordinary lengths that's it's absurd and poorly done.

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(emphasis mine)
See what you did? You started with Biblical prophecy, made a comment about prophecy in general, and then used Nostradamus and psychics, who had nothing to do with the Bible, as examples. Effectively you said that all prophecy is equal.

And you completely missed the point and did so dishonestly, which I'll demonstrate: Notice how you cut out the part where I mentioned Bayesian inferencing. It's necessarily the case that, given most prophecies are and have been fraudulent in some manner, that the likelihood any particular prophecy was legitimate is extremely low. This is just simple probabilities. And Bayesian inferencing basically means that it is a more rational inference (because it is more probable) to infer that any particular prophecy was fraudelent because of thus. Hence, that is not a hasty generalization fallacy, just an application of abductive reasoning.

But that's just the point: The prophecies on Page 12 are not vague and cannot be interpreted in any number of ways. They each speak of one specific event, and that event happened.

You interpret them to be specific and clearly fulfilled, yet that is not the case. Quote which ones you think to be the case in your next response to me, and I'll demonstrate that is the case.