(April 4, 2014 at 10:53 am)Heywood Wrote:(April 4, 2014 at 10:52 am)rasetsu Wrote: Which is what you use when you are in a position of maximal ignorance about the alternatives. A probability based on ignorance is meaningless. It doesn't show what the actual probability is, only the maximum we can know from a position of complete ignorance. We aren't concerned with ignorant probabilities but ones based on knowledge. If I want an ignorant opinion on how the universe came to be, I'll ask Bob the grocer. If all you've got backing your probability estimate is ignorance, it's not worth anything.
Whoa!.....we got a badass here.
Maybe you can enlighten us on the actual probabilities of A and B so we will no longer be in a position of ignorance.
Since I'm not the one making the claim about A, I'm not the one who needs to provide them. Put up or shut up.
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