RE: China treating Uighur Muslims like Tibetans?
July 14, 2014 at 5:19 pm
(This post was last modified: July 14, 2014 at 5:21 pm by Anomalocaris.)
There is not a lot the US can do to forestall China reaching close strategic nuclear parity in 10-20 years with the US if they are so determined to do. When compared against the economy of the US, Chinese economy is about 4 times as large as those of the USSR at the height of nuclear arms race. Chinese industrial output is also 2-3 times larger compared those of the USSR when measured against the output of the US. US would redouble our nuclear arsenal, but since we start with a 100 to 1 advantage, they only need to achieve a fraction of our build up rate to improve their relative position compared to us. If they build one missile for each 100 we build, they would still keep pace, and if they built 50 missiles for every 100 we build, their position would rapidly improve beyond the 1:100 they have now, to something ever closer to 2:1.
In reality, they can probably match us 1 for 1 in rate of buildup within just a few years of determining to do so.
We stand to lose our overwhelming nuclear advantage very easily. We can not protect our overwhelming nuclear superiority, without a preemtive strike, if they really think it is necessary to diminish our advantage. It is only a certain confidence we won't use our overwhelming nuclear superiority even in a war against them that keeps them from building up a Soviet style arsenal of amageddon. I think we are better off and safer from extinction by making them believe that our overwhelming nuclear superiority would play no part in any war, then to convince them otherwise with a boneheaded nuclear strike in Afghanistan, or Iraq.
In reality, they can probably match us 1 for 1 in rate of buildup within just a few years of determining to do so.
We stand to lose our overwhelming nuclear advantage very easily. We can not protect our overwhelming nuclear superiority, without a preemtive strike, if they really think it is necessary to diminish our advantage. It is only a certain confidence we won't use our overwhelming nuclear superiority even in a war against them that keeps them from building up a Soviet style arsenal of amageddon. I think we are better off and safer from extinction by making them believe that our overwhelming nuclear superiority would play no part in any war, then to convince them otherwise with a boneheaded nuclear strike in Afghanistan, or Iraq.