Determinism, Free Will and Paradox

[The Grand Nudger]

Ok I didn't mean that all probabilities are 50/50, that wouldn't make sense.

Then even "QM free will" isn't -free-. There are mechanics.

I disagree though that this probabilistic nature of small scale stuff becomes irrelevant at macroscopic scales as it averages out. Chaotic systems blow up arbitrarily small perturbations exponentially until the whole thing goes in a completely different direction.

Except that it doesn't go in a completely different direction. Things at our level of interaction appear to go in predictable and reproduceable directions, regardless of what may be happening down at QM. Assume that the "apparent randomness" is "true randomness" just for arguments sake and with full acknowledgement that it would be impossible to establish this empirically. Will it change anything we observe up here? Will things just stop happening the way they have been? No. Thats one of the more quixotic elements of QM, imo. There are some interesting explanations as to why that might be (as there always are) but it;s enough, in a discussion of free will and human beings, to simply acknowledge that QM doesn't model interaction -at our level- as well as deterministic models. If you hit a rock with your face going 400mph there isn't any "range of probability" involved in the final state of that situation. That's all I'm trying to get across. I can tell you, in advance...with certainty, what's going to happen to your face. It's my opinion that "free will" whatever it is, also has to be addressed from the position of this level of interaction..at least in our case - because whatever it is..it's happening in our heads. Perhaps theres some creature with "free will" tiny enough to escape the situation we find ourselves in. I wouldn't know. I just know that we aren't that creature.