NFL 2016 Pick'em League!

[Tiberius]

I've just sent a PM to everyone who hasn't yet sent me their Week 2 picks (Tazzycorn I included you as I hadn't seen your message here). Just an FYI, you need to get your weekly picks to me by midnight on Wednesday (that is, Wednesday evening) every week. This is so I can populate them into the spreadsheet before the game starts on Thursday.

If you do not send in picks in time, you'll get a 0 - 16 record for that week, which would be bad if you want a shot at the top spot in the season rankings!

[Jackie]

I will dutifully do it for I want to be champeen and will all that glorious pocket lint.

[Angrboda]

Is a .500 rating a symptom that you're just guessing, or is it really a crapshoot and telling who is going to win each week largely guesswork? I keep thinking that if I only get .500, then I'm probably just guessing. Which is okay at the start of the season, but I was around .500 at the end of last year's season. What is wrong with me?

[Joods]

Tibs, I sent you my picks

[Pat Mustard]

Going over my picks, I'm making my record for week one 10-6. And I can't see where I'd be wrong with that count.

Your picks, going from your PM, were:

Broncos (W)
Falcons (L)
Titans (L)
Eagles (W)
Jets (L)
Raiders (W)
Chargers (L)
Ravens (W)
Bears (L)
Packers (W)
Seahawks (W)
Giants (W)
Lions (W)
Cardinals (L)
Steelers (W)
Rams (L)

That's 9 wins and 7 losses by my count. Unless I got one of your picks wrong, but I just went through them and I can't see which one?

I knew it. I somehow counted the Falcons as a win for me. That's what you get for looking up results waaaaaay past your bedtime. Sorry for that.

[Crossless2.0]

[Ravenshire]

[Jackie]

[Crossless2.0]

[Jackie]

That article is about the teams covering the spread, not necessarily winning outright.

Right. But the percentage of outright wins for favorites covering the various spreads is helpful in determining the likelihood of those same teams winning by any margin. It's all rough and ready, anyway, and was offered simply as food for thought. Vegas odds-makers obviously aren't the last word. As they say, "That's why they play the game."

If people think it is more fun to get into more detail there is a AF fantasy league thread. I chose this mere win/lose pick em because I have long since accepted the crapshoot it can be. Last year if you look just at my rankings from week to week I was at the top and middle and bottom depending on week. 

I am not trying to win in any serious sense, but just in a "neener neener" friendly way. Can we all simply have fun without making this too deep? Don't make me post an ABBA video.