Predictions for the next four years

[Doubting Thomas]

Keeping an open mind until after January 20th. Can't tell much of anything right now.

I'm keeping an open mind on Trump until he does something to remove my trust.

What's that?  He put a white supremacist in his cabinet?  Well, that didn't last long.

[Minimalist]

Minimalist's blood pressure will go through the roof...

My BP tends to be low.  This is actually helping. Must be the Orange Baboon's plan for health care!

[downbeatplumb]

Thanks to Trump and Brexit the word of the year is "Post-Truth"

http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/pos...spartanntp

relating to or denoting circumstances in which objective facts are less influential in shaping public opinion than appeals to emotion and personal belief

[NuclearEnergy]

The idiot will get hundreds if not that then thousands killed with his arrogance and outright stupidity. The fact he thinks he's too smart for intelligence briefings is very scary. The fact he's busy tweeting about SNL instead on trying to improve the nation is very scary. The fact is we elected a 5 year old in office with very thin skin and will become the most corrupt person in the world. And his supporters are too dumb to even know they're being scammed.

[Angrboda]

Trump supporters will continue to think he's the next best thing to sliced bread even after he tanks the economy.

There are few things that you can do to fix the country. There are a lot of things you can do to break it. Trump only knows the latter.

[downbeatplumb]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ti6rG4NmsyM

I think this documentary on a Trump future should explain my view.

[Edwardo Piet]

Prediction for the next four years?

The UK is financially fucked.

And the U.S. is fucked in multiple areas.

[John V]

Human sacrifice...cats and dogs living together...mass hysteria!

[scoobysnack]

I predict prosperity for those who are proactive and seek jobs that are going to start being created. Those who desire self determination and don't live in a reactive state of dependency will thrive. You will see the taboo of being proud to be American dwindle as the voices of those trying to ideologically subvert the nation by bashing the US as an oppressive state slowly fade away as they wake up and leave the plantation of victim hood and join the rest of us in common culture. The self loathing lazy socialists will soon jump off their sinking ship and swim to shore and see what happens when capitalism shows them how to be productive and make something for themselves.

As infrastructure projects begin employing US citizens, the money from wages will be spent in the inner cities supporting the local economies creating more jobs for low skilled retail workers. Less money will be transferred over seas. The trade deficit will start to reverse as companies start to market the made in America brand in line with the new nationalist populist movement takes hold. The stock market will continue to go up past the record level 20,000 DJI creating more optimism and more willingness to invest for further profits.

Unfortunately word is there is a plan to start a war between Turkey and Syria, but not by Trump. This may throw a wrench in things but hopefully only temporarily.

[Joko]

Trump has been extremely inconsistent and dishonest when honing his policy platform, but we should be able to predict some of his legislative agenda:

-The Affordable Care Act will most likely be gutted in the next two years. Not right away, not entirely (things like the pre-existing conditions safeguards will remain), but almost certainly so. The Republicans have made this a top priority since 2010.
-School choice programs will be expanded at the federal level. We can infer this based on Trump's choice for Education Secretary, Betsy DeVos. This may lead to decreased support for public schools.
-Enforcement of immigration law will be much tighter under Trump than previous administrations. I don't buy into the notion that he'd try to deport 11 million people, nor do I believe we'll see a significant border fence. But we will probably see a spike in the number of deportations and less leniency for people who overstay their visas.
-The Iran Deal is in jeopardy. Trump has consistently berated the Obama administration for our negotiations with Iran and will be a staunch ally of Israel.
-Our relationship with China will deteriorate. He has put many trade hawks on his transition team, has been very unprofessional in terms of his conduct towards the Chinese government, and has interacted with Taiwan in ways not seen since the 1970's.
-Congress will most likely start pushing for abortion restrictions. This is similar to how Bush got the partial-birth abortion ban passed in the early 2000's.

Trump does support paid family leave and investing half a trillion in infrastructure. While I am 100% behind this, I don't see these proposals getting through a Republican Congress. So I wouldn't list them as predictions. Russia is a tricky situation -- he has shown to be very amicable towards Putin but his nationalism and economic protectionism may not bode well for the U.S.-Russian dynamic. Quite frankly, I don't believe that a ban on Muslim immigrants or a registry will happen. It was probably just campaign fodder for his populist base (though if he were to institute those plans, I would be the first one protesting on the streets).

That's what I think will happen for the next 4 years. And I suspect Trump will lose in 2020. I'm certainly not going to take that for granted though.