(April 15, 2024 at 1:45 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote:

(April 14, 2024 at 9:53 pm)arewethereyet Wrote: May he stay safe.

(April 14, 2024 at 10:46 pm)brewer Wrote: Thank him for me/us.

(April 14, 2024 at 11:11 pm)Fireball Wrote: Hoping for the best, Thump. My eldest son just came back after a tour in the ME.

Thank y'all, and thank your son from us, FB. What branch is he in?.

USAF. He's a TSGT working with avionics- Comm and RADAR.

(April 15, 2024 at 9:26 am)Fireball Wrote: USAF. He's a TSGT working with avionics- Comm and RADAR.

I'd salute him if I were military. Here's a virtual pat on the back.

(April 15, 2024 at 9:26 am)Fireball Wrote:

(April 15, 2024 at 1:45 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: Thank y'all, and thank your son from us, FB. What branch is he in?.

USAF. He's a TSGT working with avionics- Comm and RADAR.

High-flyin' Air Force! Glad he's home safe.

(April 15, 2024 at 11:31 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote:

(April 15, 2024 at 9:26 am)Fireball Wrote: USAF. He's a TSGT working with avionics- Comm and RADAR.

High-flyin' Air Force! Glad he's home safe.

I talked him into joining the AF mainly to get him a sense of direction and get him off the tit. He's been in about 11 years. I felt pretty bad when he got sent to the ME the first time. But this last time he was issued armor. He doesn't tell my wife when he's deployed because she worries so much. That and OpSec. 

I hope each one of these young people can return to you safe and sound
 
I believe they won’t be any significant military escalation in the region (I was simply joking in my first message). Even Putin his said to have called Raisi on that subject. If Iran ends up being in war itself, it will not be able to provide drones and missiles to Russia.
 
On the other hand, the situation in Iran is also mostly stable. In fact Iran can build nuclear weapons within a week if it wants to. But it cannot deal with the consequences of building them. In reality, it is silently begging for an alleviation of sanction that would allow the regime to survive a few more decades because popular dissatisfaction with the regime is also growing.
 
So they cannot really afford a war with Israel either. Right now they are shutting down nuclear power facilities because of the possibility of Israel targeting them.
 
https://www.yahoo.com/news/anything-stop...25499.html

+ Half of the missiles they fired on Israel didn't even launch:

Insider
 
So back to my first comment: Sometimes you need people to stand up and take some responsibility until a more permanent and intelligent solution that is acceptable for everyone is found and implemented. But as I said, nothing really big should happen in that region for the moment.
 
(Except for all those people in Gaza + the West Bank who should be able to simply get out of that place that has become a reflection of hell on this planet but are siöply unable to do that  - Most of the victims are said to be women + children - So I see it as a good sign that Joe Biden is not willing to support Israel in anything it decides to do against Iran) 

(April 17, 2024 at 8:44 am)Leonardo17 Wrote: In fact Iran can build nuclear weapons within a week if it wants to.

Your own link reports it would take 6-12 months.

(April 17, 2024 at 8:59 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote:

(April 17, 2024 at 8:44 am)Leonardo17 Wrote: In fact Iran can build nuclear weapons within a week if it wants to.

Your own link reports it would take 6-12 months.

Quote:“Iran is sitting on the threshold of nuclear weapons; it can build a bomb more quickly than at any point in its history,” said Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association.

“If Tehran makes the political decision to develop a nuclear arsenal, it can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for an explosive device in less than a week and enough for five or six weapons in a month.”

(...)

What’s stopping Iran?

Tehran calculates that it stands to gain more in terms of sanctions relief and future negotiations by dangling the threat of the bomb than actually building it.

(...)

It's so interesting, and so vicious, and horrible, and so beautiful in so many different ways. 

(April 17, 2024 at 9:58 am)Leonardo17 Wrote:

(April 17, 2024 at 8:59 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: Your own link reports it would take 6-12 months.

Quote:“Iran is sitting on the threshold of nuclear weapons; it can build a bomb more quickly than at any point in its history,” said Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association.

“If Tehran makes the political decision to develop a nuclear arsenal, it can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for an explosive device in less than a week and enough for five or six weapons in a month.”

(...)

What’s stopping Iran?

Tehran calculates that it stands to gain more in terms of sanctions relief and future negotiations by dangling the threat of the bomb than actually building it.

(...)

There is an enormous gap between being able to produce fissile material and a working bomb.

(April 17, 2024 at 9:58 am)Leonardo17 Wrote:

(April 17, 2024 at 8:59 am)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: Your own link reports it would take 6-12 months.

Quote:“Iran is sitting on the threshold of nuclear weapons; it can build a bomb more quickly than at any point in its history,” said Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association.

“If Tehran makes the political decision to develop a nuclear arsenal, it can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for an explosive device in less than a week and enough for five or six weapons in a month

(...)

What’s stopping Iran?Tehran calculates that it stands to gain more in terms of sanctions relief and future negotiations by dangling the threat of the bomb than actually building it.

You conveniently edited out this passage:

Quote:“Iran is sitting on the threshold of nuclear weapons; it can build a bomb more quickly than at any point in its history,” said Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association.

“If Tehran makes the political decision to develop a nuclear arsenal, it can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for an explosive device in less than a week and enough for five or six weapons in a month.”

She added: “Building a bomb would take more time – likely six months to a year – but that process will take place at covert, undeclared sites, making it more difficult to detect and disrupt.”

[emphasis added -- Thump]

I'm sure that was an accident on your part.

Your claim that Iran could put a nuclear weapon together inside a week is directly contradicted by the same authority you cited in support of it.