(June 4, 2011 at 6:48 pm)FaithNoMore Wrote:(June 4, 2011 at 3:44 pm)diffidus Wrote: It seems I owe you an apology on the mathematical question. I was assuming that you meant that each person would draw a different set of ten numbers i.e the second person would not draw the same numbers as the first and so on. However, with your extra explanation, I now see that you are allowing people to draw the same set of 10 numbers which would in fact be 10^10.It's okay, I wasn't even 100% sure I was correct. My question still stands, however, which is would you vote to convict someone accused of a crime based on odds even at 1 in a million they might be innocent?
Diffidus:
In a court of law the question of 'reasonable doubt' arises. I think if I was certain that the probability of innocence was 1 in a million, then I would convict.
However, on the question of God's existence, I don't have any certainty in the uncertainty. In other words, we don't know how much we don't know. This is why I use a more general term such as 'unlikely' with regard to God's existence. This is about as close as I can get to the status quo in terms of human knowledge.
