RE: North Korea Now Making Missile Ready Nuclear Weapons
August 9, 2017 at 3:09 pm
(This post was last modified: August 9, 2017 at 3:28 pm by Anomalocaris.)
Maybe the most basic lesson from the Iraq invasion of 2001, taught countless times throughout history and yet must be relearned each time and almost always flippantly forgotten before next when it can be put to use, is the war almost never go the way those optimistic enough to advocate for it thinks it will.
Furthermore, seemly minor and secondary consequences of the war, as well as the reactions of seemingly marginal or outside players that were only given trivial attention during planning, have a way of ballooning up until its long term impact is all out of proportion with its apparent insignificance at the beginning, and eventually become the main lasting legacy of the war, to the detriment of the interests of those that eagerly ambraced the war in the beginning.
It would be the right move if South Korea is happy to absorb a couple of retaliatory nukes and China will accept American forces on the Yalu.
Furthermore, seemly minor and secondary consequences of the war, as well as the reactions of seemingly marginal or outside players that were only given trivial attention during planning, have a way of ballooning up until its long term impact is all out of proportion with its apparent insignificance at the beginning, and eventually become the main lasting legacy of the war, to the detriment of the interests of those that eagerly ambraced the war in the beginning.
(August 9, 2017 at 3:06 pm)bennyboy Wrote:(August 9, 2017 at 1:13 pm)Crossless2.0 Wrote: A harmless tub of hot air? Are you fucking kidding?!?
Tell that to the people of Seoul. I'm sure they can explain the significance of 15,000-odd artillery pieces and rocket launchers.
He can tell that to me, too, since I live in Seoul.
A war is likely to be very bad. I SUSPECT that America will work their air magic and eliminate most targets within a week. However, there's a real possibility for things to go horribly wrong if the regime is threatened.
There is a question to ask though: can America afford to play a wait-and-see game with Kim? In my opinion, the right move FOR AMERICA seems to be to go in now, while the risk of major catastrophe for the States is still relatively small. What happens in 20 years when the place is bristling with nukes, and N. Korean subs are patrolling the Pacific and so on? Not a pleasant thought.
It would be the right move if South Korea is happy to absorb a couple of retaliatory nukes and China will accept American forces on the Yalu.