Here's some items:
Looks like the footage showing the splashdown of the last NORK missile from Japan without a simultaneous view from a different angle won't be terribly useful to the NORKS in plotting where it actually came down compared to where they thought/wanted/expected it to come down. Now, do we (US intel) now where NORK thought it would come down?? Idunno. It would be a VERY interesting piece of information to have.
US (??) announced how high the missile went (~2300 miles nearly straight up, IIRC). Do the NORKS have independent confirmation of how high it went?? Telemetry?? Theodolite?? Anything?? If US fudged the figure a bit, and they have no other number, it would really FU their program.
What condition was the missile in at impact with the ocean ?? Seems like the NORKS would not have any way of retrieving any of it, and as for the US, I think the motivation for a sample would be considerable.
How accurately was the trajectory recorded during the descent?? Did the missile maneuver on the way down? Was the trajectory strictly ballistic during re-entry and/or did the missile evidence aerodynamic lift as it came down?
And a side issue, what kind of decal was observed during the descent?? A lot?? Or a little?? The implication would be indicative of how heavily the missile was loaded. Was the nose cone empty, or ballasted to simulate the mass of a warhead??
I'm thinking the NORKS and the US intel folks don't separately each have all the answers. All the answers would be needed to A) make a realistic threat with the missile and B) make a realistic threat assessment of any announced (mis)use of the missile.
Looks like the footage showing the splashdown of the last NORK missile from Japan without a simultaneous view from a different angle won't be terribly useful to the NORKS in plotting where it actually came down compared to where they thought/wanted/expected it to come down. Now, do we (US intel) now where NORK thought it would come down?? Idunno. It would be a VERY interesting piece of information to have.
US (??) announced how high the missile went (~2300 miles nearly straight up, IIRC). Do the NORKS have independent confirmation of how high it went?? Telemetry?? Theodolite?? Anything?? If US fudged the figure a bit, and they have no other number, it would really FU their program.
What condition was the missile in at impact with the ocean ?? Seems like the NORKS would not have any way of retrieving any of it, and as for the US, I think the motivation for a sample would be considerable.
How accurately was the trajectory recorded during the descent?? Did the missile maneuver on the way down? Was the trajectory strictly ballistic during re-entry and/or did the missile evidence aerodynamic lift as it came down?
And a side issue, what kind of decal was observed during the descent?? A lot?? Or a little?? The implication would be indicative of how heavily the missile was loaded. Was the nose cone empty, or ballasted to simulate the mass of a warhead??
I'm thinking the NORKS and the US intel folks don't separately each have all the answers. All the answers would be needed to A) make a realistic threat with the missile and B) make a realistic threat assessment of any announced (mis)use of the missile.
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