(December 20, 2017 at 12:35 pm)SteveII Wrote:(December 20, 2017 at 12:00 pm)Mister Agenda Wrote: I do not find that a series of unconvincing assertions becomes a convincing argument through accumulation. A series of justified probabilistic inferences can support a conclusion, but you don't seem to be presenting that kind of case (like five causally unconnected things reasonably supported to be over 50% likely that all point to the same conclusion, which conclusion can be inferred to be, say, 75% likely to be true based on the fact that multiple lines of evidence show that it is more probable than not).
Well, it is your opinion that many or all of my list of reasons are unconvincing to you. None can be shown to be false (or even more likely to be false) so they are all rational beliefs. If one surveys a series of rational reasons for belief that, in their opinion, range from makes-sense to more-likely-than-not to compelling, then one has a cumulative case that increases the probability of their belief (in this case, belief in God).
For example, say I tell my daughter than an old army buddy is coming this afternoon for a visit (she has a belief). If a man strange man walks up the drive after lunch, is there more reasons to believe my statement? What about if the man looked to be about my age? What if he had on an army jacket or hat? What if he had all those things and flowers (for my wife)? The original belief can be strengthened by more facts that are not themselves conclusive but fit the framework. Cumulative.
*Bold mine
The thing is it's your opinion that these claims are true, and are conclusions of arguments that by your own admission none of which are provable fact'
Surely you would agree that claims have to be proven to be true, I could claim there is an invisible yellow jelly baby who rules the moon, and if you only you had faith you too would believe, and as you cannot prove it not to be untrue then can I claim it rational ? I find it amazing that Christianity is relying more and more on ''you can't prove it's not true'' type of defence.
As for your second example to compare it would be more like you saying you had an old army buddy coming round, then in the afternoon you say ''oh i hear the doorbell' when no one else did. You then go to the door open and invite your friend in (who no one else can see, hear, smell or touch) and then carry on a conversation with an seemingly empty chair. And then claim ''see all the facts cumulate''.
The more I chat with Christians here it seems the weaker and weaker the arguments get.
'Those who ask a lot of questions may seem stupid, but those who don't ask questions stay stupid'