RE: Protestors Storm Capital
January 8, 2021 at 12:11 pm
(This post was last modified: January 8, 2021 at 12:12 pm by Aristocatt.)
There are multiple people that have been verified as having long ties with Trumps political movement that were identified in the storming of the capital. Including an elected official from W-VA.
I'm not aware of any evidence that antifa was in the crowd?
If you want to withhold judgement of who was responsible for the bombs...cool, that's fine.
"It's just as likely that some extreme leftists planted the shit to be found" -- But this is...just not true. Neither by any rational reflection of the events that occurred, or by some weird attempt at a Bayesian analysis.
What you are attempting to explain here, I think, is you are suggesting that we are engaging in an availability bias when we assume that the bombs were planted by trump supporters. So it wouldn't necessarily be inaccurate to say that we are "More than likely overestimating the likelihood that the bombs were planted by a trump supporter relative to other possible groups that may have planted the bombs".
I'm not aware of any evidence that antifa was in the crowd?
If you want to withhold judgement of who was responsible for the bombs...cool, that's fine.
"It's just as likely that some extreme leftists planted the shit to be found" -- But this is...just not true. Neither by any rational reflection of the events that occurred, or by some weird attempt at a Bayesian analysis.
What you are attempting to explain here, I think, is you are suggesting that we are engaging in an availability bias when we assume that the bombs were planted by trump supporters. So it wouldn't necessarily be inaccurate to say that we are "More than likely overestimating the likelihood that the bombs were planted by a trump supporter relative to other possible groups that may have planted the bombs".
