(January 16, 2024 at 12:13 pm)Ravenshire Wrote:(January 16, 2024 at 11:56 am)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: By all accounts, Iowa was a landslide for Trump - got 50% of the vote. Take some comfort from that - it means 50% of Republican caucus goers wanted someone else. Trump can’t win the general with half of Republican voters. He needs virtually all Republicans and a significant percentage of independents.
If Iowa is any indication, things don’t look good for Trump.
Boru
50% of Republican voters wanted someone other than Trump as the Republican candidate. Many of them will still vote the party in November even if it means voting for Trump.
Turnout is crucial for Biden, just as it was in 2020.
Many will, but not all. Trump can’t win a general election with just ‘many’. And the Republican vitriol against Biden is so white-hot, the rank-and-file could very well start looking for a candidate in terms of electability.
Will Trump be the Republic nominee? Very likely. Does he have a lock on it after Iowa? Just ask President Ted Cruz.
Boru
‘I can’t be having with this.’ - Esmeralda Weatherwax
