2024 US Presidential Election

[Thumpalumpacus]

Polling:

Vice President Harris is up 4 points on former President Trump in three battleground states with less than three months left until the election, according to new polling from The New York Times/Siena College.

The survey, published Saturday morning, found that Harris has taken the lead over the former president in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, garnering 50 percent support to Trump’s 46 percent in the hypothetical matchup.

Harris’s numbers mark a significant improvement to former President Biden’s in the same swing states.

[...]

Asked how satisfied voters were with their party’s nominee, most respondents in the survey gave a positive answer.

Broken down by party, Democrats were more likely than Republicans to say they were satisfied with their nominee — 87 percent to 79 percent, respectively. Roughly 12 percent of Democrats and 19 percent of Republican respondents said they were unsatisfied, per the poll.

About 60 percent of independent voters said they were satisfied, compared to 37 percent who said the opposite, the survey found.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/48...-nyt-poll/

Harris's lead is within the margin of error, but I think that enthusiasm gap could be dangerous for the Republicans, in that it may drive Democratic turnout or depress Republican turnout.