(June 28, 2012 at 11:21 pm)Minimalist Wrote:(June 28, 2012 at 8:10 pm)Justtristo Wrote: I have to say Romney although it will be a quite narrow victory. States like Colorado, Nevada and maybe New Mexico will go Romney because of the large numbers of Mormons there.
They didn't vote for Obama the last time.
Obama won Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado by comfortable margins.
Obama is going to win nearly all of the states he won in 2008, particularly those that really matter. I can see NV, NM, and CO possibly going red, as well as North Caroline, Florida, and Indiana. Not very many of the others, though, and not enough to lose the electoral vote. In most of the states where he won, he won by comfortable margins.
I don't see any of the red states flipping to Obama. It won't matter.