(October 9, 2009 at 3:35 am)Arcanus Wrote: Me neither. However, that is not what you said, Eilonnwy. The switch you just pulled here is blatant. If I put it to the other members of this site, I'm sure they would be able to detect what the difference is between (i) "there really is not a dragon" and (ii) "there probably is not a dragon." The former is what you had said. The former is what commits the fallacy. The former is what Sagan neither does nor would support. To conclude ¬P ("there really is not a dragon") based on the lack of evidence for P ("there is a dragon") commits the ad ignorantiam fallacy. Q.E.D.
(ii) is what I meant. I realize now I should have worded it better.
As far as empirical evidence goes, I still maintain it's the best method of discerning what is true. I don't think it's the only method, but the best. As far as philosophy goes, you can logically assert something but that doesn't make it true.
"The way to see by faith is to shut the eye of reason." Benjamin Franklin
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