RE: The Case for Theism
March 7, 2013 at 7:33 pm
(This post was last modified: March 7, 2013 at 7:33 pm by Mister Agenda.)
If you roll a fair ten-sided die 118 times, the probability of rolling this particular sequence is 10−118. It takes a little longer to count than to do (provided you have 118 10-sided dice), but it's an example of how trivially easy it is to do something you just said is impossible. And Borel would be appalled at what you're using his calculation (not law, his law was Borel's law of large numbers) for. It's supposed to be used as a rule of thumb for whether something is going to happen before the fact, not claim that something that has already happened, didn't. Successfuly specifying what all those dice were in advance, 10-118 against you being right. After they've been rolled, whatever came up, actually came up.