RE: The Case for Theism
March 7, 2013 at 9:02 pm
(This post was last modified: March 7, 2013 at 9:03 pm by Tartarus Sauce.)
(March 7, 2013 at 8:34 pm)i win you lose.com Wrote: So what your saying is that just because YOU havent heard of a law its not at play. and you do realise that ALL 118 ten sided dice would have to land on the same side in one roll.. i think you need to do a little bit more homework. And if your going to try to refute many mathematicians and biophysicists research and studies your going to need a little bit more than a ten sided die "argument"
No, that isn't what he's saying at all, and no, he isn't refuting any mathematics.
Saying that something that has happened couldn't have happened on its own due to the sheer improbability is illogical. You are conflating the concept of a specified result and a non-specified outcome, two completely different concepts as has already been pointed out to you. The specified outcomes' probability could be subject to variation depending on the conditions of the case being studied, but that a non-specified outcome will occur has a probability of 100%.
The chance for ANY configuration of the 118 ten sided die being rolled is equal, but we attribute significance to only certain outcomes. If they all come up on the same side, that is psychologically significant to us, but it actually had the same chances of occurring as any random assortment that we would consider insignificant. Since the number of outcomes we attribute significance to is an incredibly microscopic sliver of the bajillions of outcomes, chances are we will never see, in this instance of 118 ten sided die, an outcome we would consider a spooky coincidence.
freedomfromfallacy » I'm weighing my tears to see if the happy ones weigh the same as the sad ones.