(August 9, 2017 at 10:58 am)Rev. Rye Wrote:The US wouldn't launch first. It'd be too much of a international political disaster for them. Dropping a nuke without the North Koreans launching one first would piss the chinese off very much at the very least, whereas if they drop in retaliation, the good old excuse of "He did it first!!!!" comes into play. It will end up being a use it or lose it situation.(August 9, 2017 at 10:54 am)Anomalocaris Wrote: Make light of his motives all you want, the real calculus is simple to the extreme: For Kim there is no life without nuclear weapon.
He will certainly chose to use his nuclear weapons if it is use it or lose it, or if he is in grave danger of being deposed.
Don't think he will use it if his regime is not threatened despite his own bluster, don't think he won't use it if his regime is gravely threatened, regardless of blood curdling threat of consequences from the idiot trump.
You know, given that the US has been stockpiling nuclear weapons for over 70 years and haven't actually used them since August 9, 1945 (72 years ago today, by an extraordinary coincidence), I don't think there will likely be much of a "use it or lose it" situation.
"He who fights with monsters should look to it that he himself does not become a monster. For if you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes unto you."
