(December 6, 2018 at 3:38 pm)Cato Wrote: I read this morning that only once in the last 50 years has the treasury bond yield curve inversion mentioned in the OP not precipitated a recession.
Yes, and IIRC the inversion preceded the last three.
The spread between the 10 and 2 year treasuries improved today due to the 2 year yield taking a hard dive, but it's still perilously close.