RE: Last Non-winter
April 5, 2020 at 11:21 am
(This post was last modified: April 5, 2020 at 11:30 am by The Grand Nudger.)
If you're wondering how malthus was wrong in practice and in theory, OLB, the answer is simple. He believed that human population always grows more rapidly than human food supply until war, disease, or famine reduced that pop.
Because he believed this, he predicted..in 1798.. that very soon™ the world pop would be hobbled and the survivors forced to live at the level of subsistence. This is not what happened, because what he believed about pop growth -and- about food production..both turned out to be wrong. In mere reality, not only were those predictions wrong, but population control measures that have been enacted, such as china's one child policy, simply did not produce the hoped for effects - they increased their resource consumption. Meanwhile, people in wealthy countries organically decided to have fewer children (and..recall, they also emit more carbon, anyway).\
The only way that removing any number of the population could decrease carbon emissions, is if we targeted carbon emitters specifically..and then prevented the surviving people from picking up the carbon that the newly dead or un-born would have emitted. Population control schemes, on the other hand, again in mere reality, have the effect of reducing a number of the population that contributes little if anything to the problem.
Because he believed this, he predicted..in 1798.. that very soon™ the world pop would be hobbled and the survivors forced to live at the level of subsistence. This is not what happened, because what he believed about pop growth -and- about food production..both turned out to be wrong. In mere reality, not only were those predictions wrong, but population control measures that have been enacted, such as china's one child policy, simply did not produce the hoped for effects - they increased their resource consumption. Meanwhile, people in wealthy countries organically decided to have fewer children (and..recall, they also emit more carbon, anyway).\
The only way that removing any number of the population could decrease carbon emissions, is if we targeted carbon emitters specifically..and then prevented the surviving people from picking up the carbon that the newly dead or un-born would have emitted. Population control schemes, on the other hand, again in mere reality, have the effect of reducing a number of the population that contributes little if anything to the problem.
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