(May 16, 2022 at 4:47 pm)Angrboda Wrote: If I'm not mistaken, there's not a very strong correlation between either mental illness or one or two felonies and future gun violence. More violent felonies correlate less well. Lesser felonies don't tend to predict violent crime well. Mental illness doesn't correlate at all as you're more likely to see gun violence from someone who isn't mentally ill, so he's got that backwards. So all this biker bullshit about preserving gun ownership for the responsible is just a bunch of ass tooting.
Alcohol, on the other hand --
Quote:By contrast, alcohol misuse is much more of a risk factor for gun violence. A link between the two has been widely established in medical research:
A 2015 study from the University of California, Davis, found that death rates from alcohol-related gun violence were higher than those from car crashes.
Another study published in 1997 in the Journal of the American Medical Association found that non-drinkers living in a home with alcohol users were at increased risk of homicide.
Most recently, a 2019 UC Davis study found that California gun buyers with prior DUI convictions were more than 2.5 times more likely to be arrested later for violent crimes, including violent crimes using firearms.
Rose Kagawa, a professor at the UC Davis’s Department of Emergency Medicine, is the lead author on that last study.
Kagawa says while there’s a wealth of research linking alcohol use and violence, two studies over the last few years from UC Davis, including her most recent, have focused on what happens when guns are also easily accessible:
“If you think of our [gun] background check systems … they are a prediction tool to identify people at highest risk for committing future violence,” Kagawa said. “This study established DUI [conviction] as a risk factor for later being charged with a violent crime, including a violent crime with a firearm.”
[...]
And a 2013 meta-study found that on average, nearly half of homicide offenders were under the influence of alcohol when they committed the crime. For suicides, a recent study found that alcohol is present in about one third of all deaths.
A 2009 University of Maryland study found that a majority of domestic violence homicides were committed by a perpetrator under the influence of alcohol. Roughly 60% of all homicides involved a firearm according to the Department of Justice.
And another study from 2008 conducted by researchers at the University of New Mexico found that nearly half of perpetrators of domestic homicides had elevated blood alcohol levels. More than 60% of those homicides involved a firearm.
https://gunsandamerica.org/story/19/12/1...-violence/
