2016 Elections

[Anomalocaris]

It's going to be Hillary, and at her inaugural address, she's going to raise her hands to the sky and rain down fire and lightning bolts while her head spins in circles.  I don't like her much, but I will be very excited to see her unleashed on the Republicans.  No pussy-footing around, she's going to come in and start cracking their fucking skulls!

If she wins big in 2016, she might sweep into the office with enough mandate to accomplishe something's at the beginning.    But I don't think she has either the political cunning, tactical skills or the rallying power to deal major policy setbacks to republicans on any sustained basis later on during her term.    Her main plausible contribution for most of her terms would be to keep republicans out of the White House without screwing up the country's international position too much on her own.

My read is Where as Bill Clinton was an inspired and pragmatic political tactician who lacks personal self discipline, Hillary is a personally disciplined but uninspired ideologue who lacks enough sense of realism.

Her term as Secretary of State was barely adaquate in not making the administration look too bad, which is not hard on the heels of the bush administration, and it's two diseasterous, elective foreign wars.

But she really was responsible for making a couple of fairly major, somewhat subtler and more quiet, but potentially just as damaging,  blunders of her own, which bespeaks of an ideological mindset dangerously disconnected from real balance of power Between major powers, actual mechanisms of international relations, and the balance of local social and political forces around the world.