How to debunk the first cause argument without trying too hard

[Ronkonkoma]

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I'm happy you agree with that, and hope that will happen one day, except for no heaven and no religion. But lets see the way things are now. 

We learn about history and how the Turks invaded the Balkan peninsula, destroyed churches and set up gigantic mosques facing the walls of Vienna. We learn about ancient battles and turning points, and saw our own brute potential to do massive evil. And we wonder who we are to have done that. And we feel guilt to the point of striving towards an ideal Europe not according to Jesus Christ at all, but according to John Lennon. The European constitution is a massive document of hundreds of pages. Never once does it mention Christianity when defining European identity. Instead, they moved towards a border free dream of utopia at the cost of national and religious identity. 

There are problems. Something had to replace those things. In the former Yugoslavia, that was the personal cult of Marshall Tito, and the dream of Communist Utopia. All religious and ethnic differences were pressed. Lets just see how that turned out at the death of Tito with the implosion of the country along ethnic and religious divides. 

In the modern European union the thing to replace religious and national identity was consumerism. Reproduction was cut off from sex, and universal contraception and the occasional abortion in case it failed, loosened boundaries of marriage, smaller and smaller families, and children growing up in families with absent caregivers. This problem intesified to the point of governments having to give monetary incentive to large families. Either that, or promote immigration to maintain the economy, to have a young labor force, and feed the hunger of the German companies for cheap labor. But the new generation of immigrants are generally not well integrated. The second generation of immigrants (the children of the first generation) are especially dissatisfied, not few are even going to fight for ISIS. 

Why did they not integrate? Is it because of racism, and the color of their skin? Is it because of their differing customs? Or is it because having been uprooted from their old culture, they are ready to integrate into the new, but the new has nothing to offer them any more other than consumerism. They feel unfed by this consumerism. They feel they should have been fed, but they still remain hungry and dissatisfied. As a response, they are prone to returning to the old cultures of their parents, only in a more radicalized way. The new wave of Islamic radicalism is completely cut off from their traditional roots, but they see it as a new alternative to the consumerism that has not made them well, only sicker. 

The reality is that there is religion, and there will be as long as we are human. There is national identity, just as people need a solid cultural base to thrive. How will the Europeans help the wave of migrants from Syria if they are unsure about their own identity? 

We have governments and borders to keep from anarchy. Before Chrsitianity, civilizations used to maintain order based on scapegoating, even to the point of human sacrifice. If there is no religion to counter it, or of religion is not taught based on the tradition of the ages, if there is no culture to feed them, my fear is that people will resort to anarchy. And that is dangerous because we can destroy the world at the push of a button.

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Such a dim view of humanity. Actually, from most of what I have read about the issues of European immigrants being dissatisfied, it appears to stem from an underlying racism similar to that in the United States (with our southern border), in that Europeans seem to be okay with the immigrants only so long as they come in and do the bottom-of-the-barrel jobs, rather than offering the full treatment that Europeans enjoy, as seen in France for instance.

There is also the problem if resistance to cultural assimilation by the immigrants, especially in the face of alienating prejudices by the majority against them, in which they form enclaves of relative poverty and social isolation, fertile ground for extremists to tell them that their identity is not to be found in becoming Europeans but in their religious heritage. I don't think it's a matter of feeling unfed by the "consumerist" culture, as you put it, but of being unwelcome.

The issues with Tito and that form of communism are, I think, wholly unrelated to the discussion here. I consider communism to be a religious ideology that simply has no deity (except the "cult of personality" of the leaders pushing it), in the same way that Taoism and Buddhism are godless religions (except they are, ideally, peaceful at their roots, whereas communism begins with the principle of an inherent conflict between the workers and the owners).

I wholly agree with you that the issue for all humanity is that we are often too unwilling to give up our old, tribalist identities, and that these identities (be they religious or not) can at their worst cause hatred and destruction. But I disagree in the strongest possible terms with your conclusion that "If there is no religion to counter it, or of religion is not taught based on the tradition of the ages, if there is no culture to feed them, my fear is that people will resort to anarchy."  Religious identities that override the ties of brotherhood, as between the Christian Croatians and the Muslim Serbs (in this case, the Christians were the aggressors), are as often as not the root cause of the fracturing of humanity. Though Europe is increasingly secular in its population, the countries that make up the EU almost all have an official Christian state religion, leading to increased feelings of alienation by the immigrants who have other religious affiliations. It is one of the reasons we atheists tend to object so stringently to objects and symbols of official state religious entanglement; we understand well the feeling of alienation that these symbols represent, and the dangers of church-state entanglement making a majority group feel entitled or superior.

As a former environmental scientist, I certainly agree that economies which are based on a requirement of perpetual growth in population are unsustainable for a number of reasons, but a discussion of economics goes well beyond the scope of this exchange. It suffices to say that I don't agree that "loosening of family bonds" has the impact you seem to be implying. This argument is often made in the United States by our religious leaders, but it is often based on incorrectly-remembered data about an idyllic past that simply did not exist. A great book on the subject, if you are interested, is The Way We Never Were: American Families and the Nostalgia Trap by Stephanie Coontz.

A dim view of humanity? Never. Listen to this. The continent is in trouble, the Schengen border-free zones are over. ISIS has infiltrated the continent with "thousands" of fighters, and that is official. It will be released as major headlines in the coming days. People are packing their bags as we speak from Yemen, Nigeria, Sudan and Afghanistan in a modern day mass-migration. Governments destroyed by the Arab spring are no longer there to hold them back. People "liberated" by the same Arab Spring are also on the move. 

All that is good, because from our perspective, everything that happens is very carefully calculated by the "Creator of All", who monitors the fall of every leaf that falls to the ground. A good and benevolent Creator who saw a world divided between those who are wallowing in all kinds of possessions and riches, and those who are "clamoring for a share in that prosperity" (Gaudium et. Spec - Constitution of the Church in the Modern World - a Vatican II publication). 

In the end, that benevolent "Father of All" must say, "Enough. We have to re-structure." 

I'm nuts and believe in the sphaghetti monster, remember? Remember those 320 conditions I think were needed to be "fine tuned" for the existence of life on our little blue planet? That's nothing. Only the very tip of the iceberg. In the end, it will all boil down to the good will in our hearts: "Forgive your enemies and pray for those who persecute you."

Besides, this is not the first time. Remember the fall of Rome? When the Barbarian hordes were approaching the city, and the people resorted to the Bishop of Rome for help, what did he say? "Never be afraid. If we have a friend like Jesus, we have nothing to fear." And Rome was sacked, but we were not afraid any more. Today the Bishop of Rome is urging all the convents, parishes and monasteries of Europe to take in at least one migrant family, or else start paying government taxes. The Vatican itself will take in migrants, and not only Christians.

When I talked about loosening family ties, that's a completely different issue I guess that has to do with neurodevelopment and mental health. 

The war in Yugoslavia is also more complex. Its a direct repeat of the same civil war that happened to the country during the second world war. Ever since then, they were always preparing for war under Tito.

From my part, mercy is the last word. The Mercy of Christ as He poured out his soul for a humanity he loved dearly.