(February 28, 2016 at 9:45 pm)Tiberius Wrote:(February 28, 2016 at 9:42 pm)AFTT47 Wrote: No. Trump has something like 25% support of Hispanics. That is certainly not likely to improve. I don't know what his rating is with blacks but it's probably even worse. You can't win the general election like that. Trump is not elected for President. No way.
Unfortunately, the majority in forty-six states are non-hispanic whites (according to Wikipedia), so yes, you can win the general election like that. The Hispanic and black vote might make it close, but it by no means undermines his chance of success.
It doesn't matter what the majority is. Nobody is winning 100% of the majority. Estimites are that a candidate needs 47% of the Latino vote to win. If you're Trump, you have to make up that huge deficit somewhere. Where? Blacks love the Clintons. White males will probably favor Trump but females will favor Hillary by at least the same margin. Where do the Trump voters come from that put him over the top?
Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former.
Albert Einstein
Albert Einstein
