(June 28, 2016 at 6:23 pm)SteveII Wrote:(June 28, 2016 at 3:21 pm)Alex K Wrote: SteveII,
I'm not goint to interpret rambling pages by WLC. You started lecturing about using probabilities, so make the argument, tersely, using Bayes theorem, tell us your numbers and then we discuss.
Irrational used probability as a way to know if the NT events happened and asserted that was at or near zero. That's just not true. WLC made the argument far better than I could so address his argument. I am not going to restate it with numbers because that is not the point. Simply using comparative words (such as lower and higher) are sufficient to discuss a historical event.
Not true according to whom? WLC? I don't think you personally appreciate the usefulness of Bayesian probability. The whole point is that it starts with numbers we all can agree on, and then we move forward from there. WLC went and included God's existence as a probable event in the initial probabilities, but that's no longer an honest way to use Bayesian probability because not everyone agrees God's existence is probable.
