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falsifying the idea of falsification
#61
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
(March 29, 2020 at 10:27 am)The Grand Nudger Wrote:
(March 28, 2020 at 8:38 pm)Belacqua Wrote: What's at issue with falsifiability is not whether we practically will be able to find such a thing. It's that in principle the statement could be proven wrong.

Likewise no serious person expects the theory of evolution to be falsified. It is as proven as something can be. But we know in principle how it could be falsified -- by finding a rabbit from the Precambrian era. If it is possible in principle to show something is false, it's falsifiable.

(March 29, 2020 at 7:28 am)Belacqua Wrote: I don't doubt that researchers have used sonar and submarines and everything else to search Loch Ness. At this point it's perfectly reasonable to conclude that there's no monster. 

This is not what scientists mean by the term "falsifiable." 

To be falsifiable, there would have to be one piece of evidence which conclusively shows that there is no monster. And that's not what happened.

For the Loch Ness monster to be falsifiable, there only needs to be one piece of evidence which could prove it false.  It's a falsifiable claim - I'd say there are plenty of pieces of such evidence...but a person arguing otherwise is only arguing that these pieces of evidence aren't -those- pieces of evidence.

At it's core, though..it's the claim that a dragon exists at the bottom of a lake.  I guess falsification applies for monuments to boru and to dragons - but not for god.

again not the point. the terms is not about the act of doing. or showing how a particular fact was proven false, but the idea that if other evidence arises can it then be proven false? or is there always an unknowable variable. if there is always an unquantifiable variable in a theory the philosophy of science particularly falsifiability says the subject is not a scientific matter. IE Science is not equipped to study or answer this question.

Because there are unlimited reasons why none of our efforts on nessy work, means science/scientific method is not the tool need to answer this question. this is another field of study which may include science, but pure science is not applicable here. which is what Popper was trying to do. separate the garbage science that could not be vetted by the scientific method, from the BS science that was trying to be assimilated into a scientific field (as a means for funding pet projects like the search for loch ness monster, alchemy, "theology," Phrenology ect..]
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#62
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
Falsification isn't about unknowable variables you cretin. You think god made mud men and flooded the earth. That's falsifiable. It never happened. It never happened...full stop.

Your god is falsifiable...even if you insist that it hasn't been falsified and that a meat fairy really did want a butterfly garden.

Sit down - adults are talking
I am the Infantry. I am my country’s strength in war, her deterrent in peace. I am the heart of the fight… wherever, whenever. I carry America’s faith and honor against her enemies. I am the Queen of Battle. I am what my country expects me to be, the best trained Soldier in the world. In the race for victory, I am swift, determined, and courageous, armed with a fierce will to win. Never will I fail my country’s trust. Always I fight on…through the foe, to the objective, to triumph overall. If necessary, I will fight to my death. By my steadfast courage, I have won more than 200 years of freedom. I yield not to weakness, to hunger, to cowardice, to fatigue, to superior odds, For I am mentally tough, physically strong, and morally straight. I forsake not, my country, my mission, my comrades, my sacred duty. I am relentless. I am always there, now and forever. I AM THE INFANTRY! FOLLOW ME!
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#63
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
(March 28, 2020 at 8:42 pm)Mr Greene Wrote: Except in a multiverse there an infinite number of worlds where the inscription does exist (assuming the multiverse hypothesis to be correct).

How is the many worlds interpretation falsifiable?  How could we measure a change that began in one reality but results in two different realities?  MWI has led to great stories and movies, but I call horsecock on it being science.
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#64
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
The many worlds interpretation is falsifiable...because we could find that there's just the one.

There is no such thing as "two realities". There is only one reality, under which all of the multiple many worlds are subject. Reality is whatever may be real. If there are mutliple universe, they are a part of reality. Just the one.
I am the Infantry. I am my country’s strength in war, her deterrent in peace. I am the heart of the fight… wherever, whenever. I carry America’s faith and honor against her enemies. I am the Queen of Battle. I am what my country expects me to be, the best trained Soldier in the world. In the race for victory, I am swift, determined, and courageous, armed with a fierce will to win. Never will I fail my country’s trust. Always I fight on…through the foe, to the objective, to triumph overall. If necessary, I will fight to my death. By my steadfast courage, I have won more than 200 years of freedom. I yield not to weakness, to hunger, to cowardice, to fatigue, to superior odds, For I am mentally tough, physically strong, and morally straight. I forsake not, my country, my mission, my comrades, my sacred duty. I am relentless. I am always there, now and forever. I AM THE INFANTRY! FOLLOW ME!
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#65
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
You know what I mean by reality in this discussion.  No need to ankle bite.

We could find a better explanation for wave function collapse, but would that falsify the MWI?  I usually go with:  If MWI is true, there is a reality where both position and momentum are describable in the absence of an observer.  How do we know this one isn't it?
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#66
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
I do, sure, but it is important to remember that falsified and falsifiable are not the same thing. If any claim makes a claim such that it could be falsified, it's falsifiable - even if it hasn't been falsified.

Modern synth, for example, is falsifiable. Though it's never been falsified.

Multiple worlds is falsifiable. We don't need to know which of the multiple worlds this world is, if multiple words are, to acknowledge that the multiple worlds interpretation is falsifiable. This, even if we think it hasn't been falsified and is, in fact, true. The problem with "god" is not that it's not falsifiable...but that it is, and has been falsified...but people don't actually give a shit about that fact. There was no creation. There was no flood. There was no exodus. There was no resurrection. The god of creation and floods and letting my people go and pious zombies is and has been falsified.

They still believe. Drich is an idiot. He doesn't know what falsification is or what makes something falsifiable, or unfalsifiable . We can't help him...but we don't need to compound his misery. MWI is falsifiable. His god is falsifiable. Falsifiability has not been falsified, and he has taken no effort to do so, despite how easy it would be in concept.

Human beings are bad at the unfalsifiable. Doubly so when we attempt to use reason, a fundamentally falsifiable product - to arrive at conclusions. The christer nutball is pissed because he's realized that his silly religion fails a very important logical criterion that other competing claims do not fail.
I am the Infantry. I am my country’s strength in war, her deterrent in peace. I am the heart of the fight… wherever, whenever. I carry America’s faith and honor against her enemies. I am the Queen of Battle. I am what my country expects me to be, the best trained Soldier in the world. In the race for victory, I am swift, determined, and courageous, armed with a fierce will to win. Never will I fail my country’s trust. Always I fight on…through the foe, to the objective, to triumph overall. If necessary, I will fight to my death. By my steadfast courage, I have won more than 200 years of freedom. I yield not to weakness, to hunger, to cowardice, to fatigue, to superior odds, For I am mentally tough, physically strong, and morally straight. I forsake not, my country, my mission, my comrades, my sacred duty. I am relentless. I am always there, now and forever. I AM THE INFANTRY! FOLLOW ME!
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#67
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
(March 25, 2020 at 1:56 pm)Drich Wrote: https://youtu.be/uKEdfAsYNSY

the title pretty much says it. with this chinese flu killing trillions I'm been writing scripts and making videos.

This one is one i think everyone who ever called for falsification needs to hear and understand.

because the term falsification and how it is used in the philosophy of science is being used in the most incorrect in fact the opposite way it was intended to be used for.

Many use it as a panic stop button in any theological argument that is getting out of hand. "well oh'yeah your idea can't be falsified."

The correct response to that is not discussing a scientific theory is , so what.

Because all the idea of falsification is or means is it is not provable through the scientific method. IE not science but pseudoscience/NOT-science. That is what Karl popper wanted and was doing when he wrote the doctrine of modern scientific philosophy. He was narrowing the field of scientific study to three major disciplines which branch out into many many other fields.. but bottom line was his falsifiable argument was intended to separate the field of science from other intellectual tools in your tool box. he unlike you 'smart people today' did not want to run everything through science as a vetting process, but only vet pure scientific study.

for you short bussers this means Falsification is not a term than can correctly be used or applied to idea theory or theological discussion.

want any more, it's in the video. want more than that I can provide a few links but fyi there is alot of reading took two weeks to compile all of this info. if you want more information google it.

I will not be debating the philosophy of science as that is a matter of your ignorance or belief in modern science, and i will not be arguing how this term was intended verse your personal use. again that is a ignorance based on your belief in modern science.

Your a bit mixed up there buddy, let me help.

We all believe in science including yourself. Hard science like chemistry, thermodynamics, motion physics, medicine.
We all rely on these sciences every day. They are applied or practical sciences.

What you are skeptical with is soft science. Theory of evolution, cosmology, climate change.
These are theoretical sciences. They operate on a far lower standard of evidence and are often driven by peoples beliefs.

Karl Popper is one of my favorite sciences. 
His "philosophy of science" is more of a process in determining real science from pseudoscience, i think he may have even invented that term

He basically says that if a claim cannot be tested (falsifiable) then it isn't scientific
We cannot test if there is or isn't a God, therefore it's not scientific to claim either

Big Popper was a huge critic of the theory of evolution his whole life. He called it a pseudoscience and tautology among other things
Only later before he died did he say he accepted the theory though he never believed it or considered it to be scientific

ToE is a hypothesis or a philosophical theory, not a scientific one.

I encourage u to look at the subject a bit deeper. 
Karl Popper really developed this skeptical way of approaching science which has really been lost, allowing several pseudosciences to emerge

An excellent identifier of a possible pseudoscience is if there is disagreement that spans over a decade or two
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#68
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
We just wrote around each other but that's fine.  Falsifiabilty must be conceived in a possible way.  So, how could we falsify many worlds if an observer only exists in one and can't take a measurement in another?  You say we could find there is only one world.  I ask, how can we eliminate the possibility we live in one of many worlds where position and momentum are measurable without an observer, where others cannot?  Hopefully a real physicist will step in and answer.  I'm just a fanboy who read some books and a shitload of the Stanford Encyclopedia.

Yes.  Drich is a nutjob who can't accept that the tenets of his religion are untenable.  But I agree with him and others here that philosophy of science is not science.
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#69
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
(April 1, 2020 at 5:35 pm)Agnostico Wrote: Big Popper was a huge critic of the theory of evolution his whole life. He called it a pseudoscience and tautology among other things
Only later before he died did he say he accepted the theory though he never believed it or considered it to be scientific

ToE is a hypothesis or a philosophical theory, not a scientific one.

I like the idea of calling him "Big Popper." 

As I understand it, though, he didn't say that evolution itself was not falsifiable. He did say at one point that the mechanism, natural selection, was a tautology and therefore not falsifiable, but he changed his mind on that and explained why he had gotten it wrong.

https://ncse.ngo/what-did-karl-popper-re...-evolution

https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pd...086/691119
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#70
RE: falsifying the idea of falsification
(April 1, 2020 at 6:09 pm)Belacqua Wrote:
(April 1, 2020 at 5:35 pm)Agnostico Wrote: Big Popper was a huge critic of the theory of evolution his whole life. He called it a pseudoscience and tautology among other things
Only later before he died did he say he accepted the theory though he never believed it or considered it to be scientific

ToE is a hypothesis or a philosophical theory, not a scientific one.

I like the idea of calling him "Big Popper." 

As I understand it, though, he didn't say that evolution itself was not falsifiable. He did say at one point that the mechanism, natural selection, was a tautology and therefore not falsifiable, but he changed his mind on that and explained why he had gotten it wrong.

https://ncse.ngo/what-did-karl-popper-re...-evolution

https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pd...086/691119


Im a big fan of Big Popper.
My favourite scientists are all practical types like Newton, Tesla, Da Vinci, Edison but Karl is the acception as i slide him into 4 or 5.

His influence on modern science is just so profound on so many levels. He had many critics as well, the best one being when he was asked if his falsification concept was falsifiable. It's easy to dismiss his whole concept of falsification on the fact that it isn't falsifiable. But i'll post the interview because he refutes that claim comprehensively.

He wrote many books, I only read the Schism in Physics as it relates to my engineering background.

His best early stuff was his conclusion on the science that Albert Einstein was conducting and the science that Sigmund Freud was conducting. That was the first big stir he created. A part of his career worth reading about.

He only became interested in Darwinism later on and never wrote a book exclusively on the subject. though he did write and lecture about it a lot

Firstly Poppers works have been used and abused by both Creationists and Darwinists when he really accepted neither. At times he can appear to contradict himself. To be honest there is not a real unified consensus on his position when he died. He is such a deep and critical thinker he would lay out one view then try to refute his own theory. 
He was the enemy of certainty, a real skeptic. Also im not pushing any creation theory here either. 
If the OP knew more about Popper he could use a lot of his material for his theistic arguments or to discredit Darwinism, but the OP hasn't really a clue

The first link u posted is one that ive read before and its really good with quotes of his. The 2nd is just too long
Ok so we aren't talking about evolution within species like the Gallapagos finches. We are talking about natural selection through random mutation (though im not too sure random mutation even was part of the theory then) and common ancestry which says all life evolved from one cell.

Popper did say evolution was not falsifiable
"I have come to the conclusion that Darwinism is not a testable scientific theory, but a metaphysical research programme" 1976
"My solution was that the doctrine of natural selection is a most successful metaphysical research programme" 1978
He also said
[i]"What Darwin showed us was that the mechanism of natural selection can, in principle, simulate the actions of the Creator and His purpose and design, and that it can also simulate rational human action directed towards a purpose or aim."[/i]

Creationists went wild and championed him as the messiah of truth, using him as a propaganda figure.
Darwinists took it as an insult which it wasn't cos he explains that metaphysical thought is essential in science. 
Darwinists were infuriated and pressured him to retract what he had said. i'll link references to all this

The claim that he changed has some truth but if you read the quotes they are using to support this its not convincing
From the link u posted he says
"I have changed my mind about the testability and logical status of the theory of natural selection; and I am glad to have an opportunity to make a recantation. . . ." 1978
It looks like his joined the consensus but he immediately follows with
"The theory of natural selection may be so formulated that it is far from tautological. In this case it is not only testable, but it turns out to be not strictly universally true. There seem to be exceptions, as with so many biological theories; and considering the random character of the variations on which natural selection operates, the occurrence of exceptions is not surprising" 1978
Then later in 1981
[i]"What Darwin showed us was that the mechanism of natural selection can, in principle, simulate the actions of the Creator and His purpose and design, and that it can also simulate rational human action directed towards a purpose or aim."[/i]
So as u can see he never actually ever says in definitive terms that he accepted Darwinism as a scientific theory
Those quotes are all from your link were the writer is trying to show us that popper did accept evolution as a scientific theory
You can try find a quote of him saying it but good luck finding it cos i only ever found very uncertain quotes like these

He died in 1994 but interestingly he kind of backed away from the debate and rarely spoke about it after the early 80's
In 1986 he gave a lecture but Karl never published it. Instead it got locked away in Big Popper's secret archives. It was found 35 years later, long after he had died and released. 
Big Popper came back from the dead, Born Again, with a totally different lyrical flow.

"He proposed a completely radical interpretation of Neo-Darwinism, essentially rejecting the Modern Synthesis by proposing that organisms themselves are the source of the creative processes of evolution, not random mutations in DNA"
His second major criticism of Darwinism was
"That is the fact that organisms can push evolution by choosing new niches and causing changes in their phenotypes without changing DNA. Phenotypic plasticity is another inconsistency of Neo-darwinism gene-centric view"

Big Popper Born Again Reference

Another trump card is this interview in 1992, 2 years before he died

"Early in his career, the philosopher Karl Popper called evolution via natural selection “almost a tautology” and “not a testable scientific theory but a metaphysical research program.” Attacked for these criticisms, Popper took them back. But when I interviewed him in 1992, he blurted out that he still found Darwin’s theory dissatisfying”One ought to look for alternatives!” Popper exclaimed, banging his kitchen table"

Reference to quote
Detail of the interview

With all that said the theory of evolution actually had nothing to do with Karl poppers creation of the falsification method
This is a neat 8min presentation of the greatest moment of his career, comparing Einstein to Freud and the main tenants of his method which I hold as Gospel 





Fuckin hell i ended up writing a book. Sorry about that. Hope it wasn't boring... LoL
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