Impeachment Vote Predictions

[Rev. Rye]

As worrying as Trump's track record with women is, to the extent that 25 women have accused him of sexual misconduct, IT IS ENTIRELY IRRELEVANT TO THE FACTS OF HIS IMPEACHMENT. It has nothing to do with his obstruction of Congress, and, while Abuse of Power is a term thrown about often post MeToo, when the House passed articles of Impeachment and included "abuse of power" among them, that abuse of power is 100% due to his withholding aid from the Ukraine unless the PM announced investigations into Joe Biden and discredited conspiracy theories.

And, as much as I believe those 25 women, given that A) the nature of the crime makes it hard to prove, and B) We still have an assload of shitty things Donald Trump has done worth condemning him for that is proven and part of the public record (see this list of 546 things for a starter, and only 42 of them happened before he took office), I tend to treat their accusations as small potatoes compared to the rest of it. When we've got a lot of verifiable shit that's worth condemning him for, cases of sexual assault that, for better of for much worse, verifiability-wise, boil down to "he said, she said, even though there's 25 shes in the equation" don't exactly rank that high to me.

And to bring the subject back to the OP, I'm not going to do a by-party breakdown, but I will say that this is not likely to happen. As long as Congress favours partisan power plays over the Rule of Law, it's highly unlikely that he's going to be removed from office.